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Not sure why this is being downvoted. It's spot on. You see folks like Dario et al. raising the alarm bells about what they claim is coming... while working as

Not sure why this is being downvoted. It's spot on. You see folks like Dario et al. raising the alarm bells about what they claim is coming... while working as hard as they can to bring that gloomy future to fruition. No one in power is going to help unless there's money in it.

thatguy0900 8mo ago
You can also see all of these people building survival bunkers.
lbrito 8mo ago
Its being downvoted because HN has a very active billionaire-techbro-fanbase. Also who's this Dario?
- mapontosevenths 8mo ago
  It's being downvoted because it's a ridiculous premise. "The Elites" are human too. This attitude is nonsensical and child-like. Nobody is out here trying to round up the hippies and force them to live in some kind of pods to be harvested for their nutrients or whatever. This technology, like every prior technology, will cause some people to lose their jobs and some new jobs to be created. This will annoy people who have to learn new skill instead of coasting until retirement as they planned. It is no different than the buggy whip manufacturers being annoyed at Henry Ford. They were right that it was bad for their industry, but wrong about it being the death of... well all the million things they claimed it would be the death of.
  - iwontberude 8mo ago
    And just like Henry Ford and the automobile, one of many externalities was the destruction of black communities: white flight that drained wealth, eminent domain for highways, and increased asthma incidence and other disease from concentrated pollution.
    - mapontosevenths 8mo ago
      Yet, overall it was a net positive for society... as almost every technological innovation in history has been. Did you know the 2/3rds of the people alive today wouldn't be if it hadn't been for the invention of the Haber-bosch process? Technology isn't just a toy, it's our life support mechanism. The only way our population gets to keep growing is if our technology continues to improve. Will there be some unintended consequences? Absolutely. Does that mean we can (or even should) stop it? Hell no. Being pro-human requires you to be pro-technology.
      - treebigtree 8mo ago
        "as almost every technological innovation in history has been" This is simply false. You really are the king of making unfounded claims.
        mapontosevenths 8mo ago
        I don't need to prove anything. You folks are the ones claiming harm. That said, AI is more akin to the invention of antibiotics than it is to the invention of any specific drug. Name any other entire category of technology from which no good has ever come. Just one. I doubt you can. Even bioweapons led to breakthroughs in pesticides and chemotherapy. Nukes led to nuclear power, and even harmful AI stuff like deep fakes are being used for image restorations, special effects, and medical imaging. You're just flat out wrong, and I think you know it.
        iwontberude 8mo ago
        You are speaking in tautology. Yes we know that technology investment often leads to great advancement and benefits for humanity, but it is not sufficient to obviate the need for consciousness and reduction of harm. This technology will be used to disenfranchise people and we need to be willing to say, "no, try again." Not to stop advancement, but to steer it into being more equitable. We should be trying to optimize for the best combination of risk and benefit, not taking on unlimited risk in the promise of some non-zero benefit. Your approach is very much take-it-or-leave-it which leaves very little room for regulating the technology. The GenAI industry lobbying for a moratorium on regulation is them trying to hand wave any disenfranchisement (e.g. displaced workers, youth mental health, intellectual property rights violated, systemically racist outcomes, etc).
  - discreteevent 8mo ago
    Henry Ford didn't make his cars out of buggy whips. He made a new industry. He didn't cannibalize an existing one. You cannot make an LLM without digesting the source material.
    - cthalupa 8mo ago
      > He made a new industry. He didn't cannibalize an existing one. I don't see how you can claim the second part is true. Cars directly cannibalized other forms of self transportation.
      - apercu 8mo ago
        ? Cars don't "eat" horses. I wouldn't equate "making redundant" with "consuming"
        direwolf20 8mo ago
        LLMs don't literally eat artists. I think you understood the metaphor.
        cthalupa 8mo ago
        Cannibalizing a <product/industry/etc.> is a common phrase to describe the act of a new thing outcompeting an existing thing to another thing to the degree that it significantly harms the market share, sometimes to the point of figurative extinction. Redundancy is a very common reason for this to occur. It has nothing to do with literally eating.
    - mapontosevenths 8mo ago
      Digesting is a weird way to say "learning from." By that logic I've been digesting news, books, movies, songs, and comic books since I was born. My brain is great big 'ole copyright violation. What matters here is not the source material, it's the output. Possessing or consuming copyrighted material is not illegal, distributing it is. So what matters here is: Can we say that the output is transformative, and does it work to progress the arts and sciences (the stated purpose of copyright in the US constitution)? I would say yes to both things, except in rare cases of bugs or intentional copyright violations. None of the major AI vendors WANT these things to infringe copyright, they just do it from time to time by accident or through the omission of some guardrail that nobody had yet considered. Those issues are generally fixed fairly promptly (a few major screw ups notwithstanding).
  - hackable_sand 8mo ago
    And for those of us living a reality of subjugation and fear, you're a fucking liar.
- iwontberude 8mo ago
  It's because people rub shoulders with tech billionaires and they seem normal enough (e.g. kind to wait staff, friends and family). The billionaires, like anyone, protect their immediate relationships to insulate the air of normality and good health they experience personally. Those people who interact with billionaires then bristle at our dissonant point of view when we point at the externalities. Externalities that have been hand waved in the name of modernity. Sycophancy is for more than just LLMs.
- tyg13 8mo ago
  Presumably Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic.
iwontberude 8mo ago
According to Trump, "If it was up to Stephen [Miller], there would only be 100 million people in this country — and all of them would look like him."

thatguy0900 8mo ago

You can also see all of these people building survival bunkers.

lbrito 8mo ago

Its being downvoted because HN has a very active billionaire-techbro-fanbase. Also who's this Dario?

mapontosevenths 8mo ago
It's being downvoted because it's a ridiculous premise. "The Elites" are human too. This attitude is nonsensical and child-like. Nobody is out here trying to round up the hippies and force them to live in some kind of pods to be harvested for their nutrients or whatever. This technology, like every prior technology, will cause some people to lose their jobs and some new jobs to be created. This will annoy people who have to learn new skill instead of coasting until retirement as they planned. It is no different than the buggy whip manufacturers being annoyed at Henry Ford. They were right that it was bad for their industry, but wrong about it being the death of... well all the million things they claimed it would be the death of.
- iwontberude 8mo ago
  And just like Henry Ford and the automobile, one of many externalities was the destruction of black communities: white flight that drained wealth, eminent domain for highways, and increased asthma incidence and other disease from concentrated pollution.
  - mapontosevenths 8mo ago
    Yet, overall it was a net positive for society... as almost every technological innovation in history has been. Did you know the 2/3rds of the people alive today wouldn't be if it hadn't been for the invention of the Haber-bosch process? Technology isn't just a toy, it's our life support mechanism. The only way our population gets to keep growing is if our technology continues to improve. Will there be some unintended consequences? Absolutely. Does that mean we can (or even should) stop it? Hell no. Being pro-human requires you to be pro-technology.
    - treebigtree 8mo ago
      "as almost every technological innovation in history has been" This is simply false. You really are the king of making unfounded claims.
      - mapontosevenths 8mo ago
        I don't need to prove anything. You folks are the ones claiming harm. That said, AI is more akin to the invention of antibiotics than it is to the invention of any specific drug. Name any other entire category of technology from which no good has ever come. Just one. I doubt you can. Even bioweapons led to breakthroughs in pesticides and chemotherapy. Nukes led to nuclear power, and even harmful AI stuff like deep fakes are being used for image restorations, special effects, and medical imaging. You're just flat out wrong, and I think you know it.
        iwontberude 8mo ago
        You are speaking in tautology. Yes we know that technology investment often leads to great advancement and benefits for humanity, but it is not sufficient to obviate the need for consciousness and reduction of harm. This technology will be used to disenfranchise people and we need to be willing to say, "no, try again." Not to stop advancement, but to steer it into being more equitable. We should be trying to optimize for the best combination of risk and benefit, not taking on unlimited risk in the promise of some non-zero benefit. Your approach is very much take-it-or-leave-it which leaves very little room for regulating the technology. The GenAI industry lobbying for a moratorium on regulation is them trying to hand wave any disenfranchisement (e.g. displaced workers, youth mental health, intellectual property rights violated, systemically racist outcomes, etc).
- discreteevent 8mo ago
  Henry Ford didn't make his cars out of buggy whips. He made a new industry. He didn't cannibalize an existing one. You cannot make an LLM without digesting the source material.
  - cthalupa 8mo ago
    > He made a new industry. He didn't cannibalize an existing one. I don't see how you can claim the second part is true. Cars directly cannibalized other forms of self transportation.
    - apercu 8mo ago
      ? Cars don't "eat" horses. I wouldn't equate "making redundant" with "consuming"
      - direwolf20 8mo ago
        LLMs don't literally eat artists. I think you understood the metaphor.
      - cthalupa 8mo ago
        Cannibalizing a <product/industry/etc.> is a common phrase to describe the act of a new thing outcompeting an existing thing to another thing to the degree that it significantly harms the market share, sometimes to the point of figurative extinction. Redundancy is a very common reason for this to occur. It has nothing to do with literally eating.
  - mapontosevenths 8mo ago
    Digesting is a weird way to say "learning from." By that logic I've been digesting news, books, movies, songs, and comic books since I was born. My brain is great big 'ole copyright violation. What matters here is not the source material, it's the output. Possessing or consuming copyrighted material is not illegal, distributing it is. So what matters here is: Can we say that the output is transformative, and does it work to progress the arts and sciences (the stated purpose of copyright in the US constitution)? I would say yes to both things, except in rare cases of bugs or intentional copyright violations. None of the major AI vendors WANT these things to infringe copyright, they just do it from time to time by accident or through the omission of some guardrail that nobody had yet considered. Those issues are generally fixed fairly promptly (a few major screw ups notwithstanding).
- hackable_sand 8mo ago
  And for those of us living a reality of subjugation and fear, you're a fucking liar.
iwontberude 8mo ago
It's because people rub shoulders with tech billionaires and they seem normal enough (e.g. kind to wait staff, friends and family). The billionaires, like anyone, protect their immediate relationships to insulate the air of normality and good health they experience personally. Those people who interact with billionaires then bristle at our dissonant point of view when we point at the externalities. Externalities that have been hand waved in the name of modernity. Sycophancy is for more than just LLMs.
tyg13 8mo ago
Presumably Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic.

iwontberude 8mo ago

According to Trump, "If it was up to Stephen [Miller], there would only be 100 million people in this country — and all of them would look like him."