4 ms·
Going to zero is one potential outcome. Equally plausible is it goes up 10% in a relatively quick battle or diplomatic outcome which ends the geopolitical uncer
by eagerpace 9mo ago
Going to zero is one potential outcome. Equally plausible is it goes up 10% in a relatively quick battle or diplomatic outcome which ends the geopolitical uncertainty.
- rwmj 9mo agoThere's approximately 0% chance that China will ship leading edge wafers from captured TSMC to the West.
- eagerpace 9mo agoThis is the beauty of Polymarket. Then bet on it. There are so many more outcomes possible to this conflict than what you see reported in the media. Don't be so reductive.
- rbtprograms 9mo ago[flagged]
- eagerpace 9mo agoIm not recommending it, but the subject here (shorting the most valuable company on earth) is pretty degen to begin with.
- u8080 9mo agoShort the stocks then, lol. When people do this kind of predictions, they often driven by emotional reaction. Best thing to switch actual evaluation on certain hypothesis is to make actual risks cost something.
- wordpad 9mo agoNot true, it might be something they compromise on to restore relations
- IsTom 9mo agoThat's possible only if fabs are operational after the invasion.