4 ms·

The writer obviously hasn’t done any deep study of prediction markets and why they often provide greater insight than other polling techniques. Are they perfect

by drob518 10mo ago

The writer obviously hasn’t done any deep study of prediction markets and why they often provide greater insight than other polling techniques. Are they perfect? No. They predicted Hillary would win in 2016.

linhns 10mo ago
Had they existed then, prediction markets would have picked Hillary to win also
- drob518 10mo ago
  They did exist and they did predict Hilary.
dh2022 10mo ago
You obviously missed the point of the article. The point is that validating and advertising Polymarket on national news outlets will have ugly consequences.
- bink 10mo ago
  It's amazing how many people on HN didn't bother to actually read the article.
- drob518 10mo ago
  I did not miss the point of the article. You obviously missed my point, however.