4 ms·

One of these times they will be right and you will never hear the end of the time they were first to recognize the start of a cyberattack.

Bratmon 9mo ago
You know what they say about a stopped clock: it's wrong 1,438 times a day.
- jermaustin1 9mo ago
  If it is a quartz watch, it might be 47,120,384 times per day.
- calvinmorrison 9mo ago
  better odds than the lottery!
  - eth0up 9mo ago
    Not if you're playing Florida Pick 4, which is supposed to be 1:10000, but for me seems 1:U+221E
btreesOfSpring 9mo ago
Your post reflects another online observation. With the rise of online sports books, this sort of predictive doomerism has flooded almost every team's online comment section. It no longer feel like fandom or community in the same way. Just lots of voices that will be glad to say, "I told you so," in the loss and crickets with the W. Wish there was some accountability mechanism for all the negative noise broadcasted into the channel.
- deleted 9mo ago
  [deleted]
- yifanl 9mo ago
  In general, whats the expected cost of being loudly, obviously, publicly and obnoxiously wrong? Keep in mind who the President is.
easterncalculus 9mo ago
When telcos get compromised again, the attackers should just take it down in service of this moronic fallacy. https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/china-cyberattack-internet-providers-260bd835 https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/china-cyberat...
ifwinterco 9mo ago
It works both ways, a lot of people also take the "nothing ever happens" position and it is true that most of the time "nothing ever happens", so by taking that position, they're right 99% of the time and sound smart
- sublinear 9mo ago
  Yes, but the majority opinion is "nothing ever happens" by default for everything, not just tech outages. It's not about sounding smart, but getting ahead of grifters and clout chasers.
  - ifwinterco 9mo ago
    Yep I think it started as a reaction against "it's happening!" types and it is a lot less wrong, but it's still wrong. The truth is things do occasionally happen and we should be prepared, even if most of the time they don't

Bratmon 9mo ago

You know what they say about a stopped clock: it's wrong 1,438 times a day.

jermaustin1 9mo ago
If it is a quartz watch, it might be 47,120,384 times per day.
calvinmorrison 9mo ago
better odds than the lottery!
- eth0up 9mo ago
  Not if you're playing Florida Pick 4, which is supposed to be 1:10000, but for me seems 1:U+221E

btreesOfSpring 9mo ago

Your post reflects another online observation. With the rise of online sports books, this sort of predictive doomerism has flooded almost every team's online comment section. It no longer feel like fandom or community in the same way. Just lots of voices that will be glad to say, "I told you so," in the loss and crickets with the W. Wish there was some accountability mechanism for all the negative noise broadcasted into the channel.

deleted 9mo ago
[deleted]
yifanl 9mo ago
In general, whats the expected cost of being loudly, obviously, publicly and obnoxiously wrong? Keep in mind who the President is.

easterncalculus 9mo ago

When telcos get compromised again, the attackers should just take it down in service of this moronic fallacy. https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/china-cyberattack-internet-providers-260bd835 https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/china-cyberat...

ifwinterco 9mo ago

It works both ways, a lot of people also take the "nothing ever happens" position and it is true that most of the time "nothing ever happens", so by taking that position, they're right 99% of the time and sound smart

sublinear 9mo ago
Yes, but the majority opinion is "nothing ever happens" by default for everything, not just tech outages. It's not about sounding smart, but getting ahead of grifters and clout chasers.
- ifwinterco 9mo ago
  Yep I think it started as a reaction against "it's happening!" types and it is a lot less wrong, but it's still wrong. The truth is things do occasionally happen and we should be prepared, even if most of the time they don't