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We are conditioning out the case where the host picks the door with a car, so there's only two scenarios of equal probability left. Hence 50-50.
by yen223 9mo ago
We are conditioning out the case where the host picks the door with a car, so there's only two scenarios of equal probability left. Hence 50-50.
- dghf 9mo agoWell yes, if you throw out half of the instances where your original choice was wrong, then the chance your original choice was correct will inevitably go up.