3 ms·
I also don't know. Additional point to consider: vast majority of doctors have no clue about Bayes theorem.
by comboy 9mo ago
I also don't know. Additional point to consider: vast majority of doctors have no clue about Bayes theorem.
- emeril 9mo agowell, to the credit of Bayes, dementia is likely a safe choice (depending on age/etc.) but dementia is largely a diagnosis of exclusion and most doctors, besides being unfamiliar with Bayes, are also just plain lazy and/or dumb and shouldn't immediately jump to the most likely explanation when it's one with the worst prognosis and fewest treatments...
- biofox 9mo agoI work in biomed. Every textbook on epidemiology or medical statistics that I've picked up has had a section on Bayes, so I'm not inclined to believe this.
- robrenaud 9mo agoHere is research about doctors interpreting test results. It seems to favor GP's view that many doctors struggle to weigh test specificity and sensitivity vs disease base rate. https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/bmjopen/5/7/e008155.full.pdf https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/bmjopen/5/7/e008155.full.pdf