4 ms·
Lawyer here - i'm sure the TOS says they can do what they want, and most of the fight will be over the validity of that TOS/etc. Ignoring that for a second, mo
by DannyBee 9mo ago
Lawyer here - i'm sure the TOS says they can do what they want, and most of the fight will be over the validity of that TOS/etc.
Ignoring that for a second, most of these comments miss the point - they are arguing over control of oil fields, etc.
The resolution terms are clear:
>This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
They commenced a military operation.
It was (apparently) a helicopter evac. I guarantee you 100% at some point they intended to, and did control, the roof of a building or an area of land in order to perform the helicopter evac. I bet they even said so, over the radio. I bet if it's not classified (unclear), you could get the operators to testify to this.
Even if it had been a boat evac they would do the same for the boat landing/evac area.
There is a 0% chance the planned military operation did not involve deliberately controlling some area, for some length of time, for exfil.
The terms do not require they establish permanent control, or control for any significant length of time.