"Correct" is hard to define with prediction markets as likelihood often increases/decreases in the hours before a market is actually called or confirmed. i can'

"Correct" is hard to define with prediction markets as likelihood often increases/decreases in the hours before a market is actually called or confirmed. i can't speak for the methodology here, but i remember this data report from a user: https://dune.com/alexmccullough/polymarket-brier-score https://dune.com/alexmccullough/polymarket-brier-score