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I have to imagine governments are closely monitoring prediction markets as part of their intelligence apparatus. But then you just add another layer of subterfu
by alach11 9mo ago
I have to imagine governments are closely monitoring prediction markets as part of their intelligence apparatus. But then you just add another layer of subterfuge. Imagine a D-Day prediction market... "Will the Allies Land in Normandy, Pas-de-Calais, or somewhere else?" The US might buy a major position on Pas-de-Calais the night before as a decoy!
- tehjoker 9mo agoThese prediction markets were proposed by DARPA iirc
- dmbche 9mo agohttps://www.cia.gov/resources/csi/static/Prediction-Markets-Enhance-Intel.pdf https://www.cia.gov/resources/csi/static/Prediction-Markets-...
- wslh 9mo agoI imagine how few incumbents can take advantage of prediction markets.