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I used to agree with this (at least the headline), but then I lived through the Biden administration. Fundamentally Americans want to consume more services and
by khuey 10mo ago
I used to agree with this (at least the headline), but then I lived through the Biden administration.
Fundamentally Americans want to consume more services and especially goods than the people living in America produce. The only ways to square that circle are
1. To get more people. But by 2024 prime age labor force participation was at essentially record numbers[0] so there aren't more people available domestically, and we saw in the election that swing voters are not fans of mass unskilled immigration.
2. To produce more with the same people (i.e. increase productivity). But in most cases this is up to technological advancement and not in the hands of policymakers. There are probably some sectors that could benefit from deregulation (e.g. construction) but those regulations have their own constituencies that don't want to see them go.
3. To force people to consume less (i.e. inflation). Voters hate this.
4. To import more from abroad.
In the end "offshoring" is the only politically viable option.
[0] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS11300060 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS11300060
- logicchains 10mo ago>3. To force people to consume less (i.e. inflation). Voters hate this. Inflation from immigration/offshoring restrictions is not evenly distributed. It's essentially a purchasing power transfer from everyone else to low-skilled workers (who no longer face competition from cheaper overseas labor, so have more bargaining power and hence can demand higher wages from society).
- khuey 10mo agoI generally agree with that, but that makes the politics of it even worse because the benefits accrue to the people with the least political power.