I think another term that is appropriate is "Survivorship bias". That is, you always hear about the success stories, but you never hear about the failures, so

I think another term that is appropriate is "Survivorship bias". That is, you always hear about the success stories, but you never hear about the failures, so you think that the chance of success is higher than it really is. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias