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> Are you serious? Sam Altman and a legion of Silicon Valley movers and shakers believe otherwise. How do you think they gather the billions to build those data

by mjr00 10mo ago

> Are you serious? Sam Altman and a legion of Silicon Valley movers and shakers believe otherwise. How do you think they gather the billions to build those data centers. Are they right? Are you right? We don't really know, do we... The money is never wrong! That's why the $100 billion invested in blockchain companies from 2020 to 2023 worked out so well. Or why Mark Zuckerberg's $50 billion investment in the Metaverse resulted in a world-changing paradigm shift.

bena 10mo ago
It's not that the money can predict what is correct, it's that it can tell us where people's values lie. Those people who invested cash in blockchain believed that they could develop something worthwhile on the blockchain. Zuckerberg believed the Metaverse could change things. It's why he hired all of those people to work on it. However, what you have here are people claiming LLMs are going to be writing 90% of code in the next 18 months, then turning around and hiring a bunch of people to write code. There's another article posted here, "Believe the Checkbook" or something like that. And they point out that Anthropic had no reason to purchase Bun except to get the people working on it. And if you believe we're about to turn a corner on vibe coding, you don't do that.
- threethirtytwo 10mo ago
  Someone also believed the internet would take over the world. They were right. So we could be right or we could be wrong. What we do know is that from 2 years ago a lot of what people were saying or “believed” about LLMs are now categorically wrong.
  - bena 10mo ago
    Someone also believed the moon was made of green cheese. They were wrong. And some of those beliefs they were wrong about is about when and how it will change things. And my post is not about who is correct. It's about discerning what people truly believe despite what they might tell you up front. People invested money into the internet. They hired people to develop it. That told you they believed it was useful to them.
- threethirtytwo 10mo ago
  > However, what you have here are people claiming LLMs are going to be writing 90% of code in the next 18 months, then turning around and hiring a bunch of people to write code. Very few people say this. But it’s realistically to say at the least in the next decade our jobs are going out the window.
  - bena 10mo ago
    The CEO of Nvidia is saying this. So yeah, he's just "one guy", but in terms of "one guys", he's a notable one.

by mjr00 10mo ago

bena 10mo ago

It's not that the money can predict what is correct, it's that it can tell us where people's values lie. Those people who invested cash in blockchain believed that they could develop something worthwhile on the blockchain. Zuckerberg believed the Metaverse could change things. It's why he hired all of those people to work on it. However, what you have here are people claiming LLMs are going to be writing 90% of code in the next 18 months, then turning around and hiring a bunch of people to write code. There's another article posted here, "Believe the Checkbook" or something like that. And they point out that Anthropic had no reason to purchase Bun except to get the people working on it. And if you believe we're about to turn a corner on vibe coding, you don't do that.

threethirtytwo 10mo ago
Someone also believed the internet would take over the world. They were right. So we could be right or we could be wrong. What we do know is that from 2 years ago a lot of what people were saying or “believed” about LLMs are now categorically wrong.
- bena 10mo ago
  Someone also believed the moon was made of green cheese. They were wrong. And some of those beliefs they were wrong about is about when and how it will change things. And my post is not about who is correct. It's about discerning what people truly believe despite what they might tell you up front. People invested money into the internet. They hired people to develop it. That told you they believed it was useful to them.
threethirtytwo 10mo ago
> However, what you have here are people claiming LLMs are going to be writing 90% of code in the next 18 months, then turning around and hiring a bunch of people to write code. Very few people say this. But it’s realistically to say at the least in the next decade our jobs are going out the window.
- bena 10mo ago
  The CEO of Nvidia is saying this. So yeah, he's just "one guy", but in terms of "one guys", he's a notable one.