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You’re not wrong to think that way. But now there’s less and less left for China to “copy,” and it’s hard to argue that many things aren’t being invented by Chi

You’re not wrong to think that way. But now there’s less and less left for China to “copy,” and it’s hard to argue that many things aren’t being invented by China itself. Perhaps the real question is this: why is it that places that used to be technologically advanced no longer produce new, original inventions? Is it fear of China copying them? Did the U.S. decide not to develop a sixth-generation fighter jet because it was afraid China would copy it? Did it stop working on battery technology because it feared China would copy that too?

krona 10mo ago
Can't wait to see the first Nobel prize in physics being awarded to a scientist who is actually a product of Chinese academy. Any moment now.
- jampekka 10mo ago
  Nobel prizes in physics are awarded typically with lag of 20-30 years. In early 2000s China was still a relative backwater economically (and academically). In 2000 US R&D spending was over 8 times China's. Now China has likely surpassed USA. It surpassed EU already in about 2014. Working in academia, the rise of China academically is palpable. There's an avalance of Chinese research published, and a reasonable chunk of it very high quality, and getting better. https://www.statista.com/chart/20553/gross-domestic-expenditures-on-r-d/ https://www.statista.com/chart/20553/gross-domestic-expendit... https://itif.org/publications/2025/06/30/china-outpacing-us-rd-spending-new-report-urges-nsf-tip-funding/ https://itif.org/publications/2025/06/30/china-outpacing-us-...
- CuriouslyC 10mo ago
  Nobel prizes are almost as sus as Oscars now. Corina Machado tells you all you need to know.
  - jabl 10mo ago
    The peace price is different, and it's been a bit of a hit and miss at least since Kissinger got it. And the economics prize, though it's not officially really a Nobel prize. But the core science prizes, AFAICT, are pretty spot on. Of course there are always many worthy contenders of a prize and one can quibble should this or that person really deserve to get it instead of another person, but I haven't heard of any outright frauds or some trivial advancement getting the prize.
    - DrScientist 10mo ago
      It's still very political - with a small p. For example the recent nobel prize for Chemistry being awarded to David Baker, Dennis Hassabis and John Jumper. Why the hell is David Baker on that list? He was just the head of a very big lab that was working in the traditional way using largely physics based approaches, making incremental progress. AlphaFold blew that whole approach out of the water. They cite the design of Top7 back in 2003 - it's not at the level of impact as Alphafold. The impact of Alphafold is obvious to all - the importance of the 2003 Baker paper doesn't stand out to me from 1000's of other possible candidates - that's where self-promotion, visibility and politics plays a part. The 2003 Baker paper has 2249 citations over 22 years. The 2021 AlphaFold paper has had 43876 citations in 4 years..........
  - shrubble 10mo ago
    Reminder that there are two different organizations that award “Nobel” prizes; one is the actual organization and the other is the Riksbank, the central bank of Sweden. Not the same people, etc.
- darkstar_16 10mo ago
  I can't tell if you're being sarcastic or not, but it will happen sooner or later.
gpt5 10mo ago
Can you clarify what are you talking about? The US has been developing 6th-gen fighter since the mid mid-2010s - not that I'd consider it as an important new original invention. What I would consider as the most impactful inventions of the last decade would be things like mRNA, Generative AI, and reusable rockets - all came from the US and the US is maintaining the lead in them.
- yanhangyhy 10mo ago
  > Can you clarify what are you talking about? The US has been developing 6th-gen fighter since the mid mid-2010s - not that I'd consider it as an important new original invention. So you think that, as an advanced military project that should have been kept under the strictest secrecy, the Chinese somehow obtained it and, based on that, developed their own sixth-generation fighter—and even managed a successful test flight while the U.S. is still at the PowerPoint stage? I don’t know which scenario would be worse for the United States.
  - gpt5 10mo ago
    Well, if we compare what we know about China's NGAD, which is almost nothing, with what we know about US NGAD, which is also almost nothing, we can safely conclude almost nothing.
  - foldr 10mo ago
    China doesn’t yet have the jet engine technology to compete with American 5th gen fighters. I certainly don’t think the US or anyone else should be complacent, but the US has a substantial lead for now.
    - DrScientist 10mo ago
      Not sure fighters matter as much these days - Russia has air superiority in terms of jets over Ukraine - but it uses them infrequently - appears the problem is the ground based counter measures are quite effective and much cheaper. If they want to attack by air - drones and missiles rather than planes appear to be the way to go. Similarly aircraft carriers - they can only really be used now to bully small countries. To anybody with significant missile/drone tech they are just massive, slow, sitting ducks. What matters is drones and missiles etc and how fast you can churn them out. Who would win that? The US is going to have to find a way to live with countries like China and India, rather than trying to suppress them. The current US policy of trying to dismant all the organisations that were set up post world war II in order to keep the peace is madness.
fragmede 10mo ago
The joke is, if you want a consumer good to exist, but you don't want to do it yourself and you want it for cheap, just make a flashy Kickstarter for it, buy marketing, then cancel the Kickstarter and wait for Chinese"clones" to hit the market!

krona 10mo ago

Can't wait to see the first Nobel prize in physics being awarded to a scientist who is actually a product of Chinese academy. Any moment now.

jampekka 10mo ago
Nobel prizes in physics are awarded typically with lag of 20-30 years. In early 2000s China was still a relative backwater economically (and academically). In 2000 US R&D spending was over 8 times China's. Now China has likely surpassed USA. It surpassed EU already in about 2014. Working in academia, the rise of China academically is palpable. There's an avalance of Chinese research published, and a reasonable chunk of it very high quality, and getting better. https://www.statista.com/chart/20553/gross-domestic-expenditures-on-r-d/ https://www.statista.com/chart/20553/gross-domestic-expendit... https://itif.org/publications/2025/06/30/china-outpacing-us-rd-spending-new-report-urges-nsf-tip-funding/ https://itif.org/publications/2025/06/30/china-outpacing-us-...
CuriouslyC 10mo ago
Nobel prizes are almost as sus as Oscars now. Corina Machado tells you all you need to know.
- jabl 10mo ago
  The peace price is different, and it's been a bit of a hit and miss at least since Kissinger got it. And the economics prize, though it's not officially really a Nobel prize. But the core science prizes, AFAICT, are pretty spot on. Of course there are always many worthy contenders of a prize and one can quibble should this or that person really deserve to get it instead of another person, but I haven't heard of any outright frauds or some trivial advancement getting the prize.
  - DrScientist 10mo ago
    It's still very political - with a small p. For example the recent nobel prize for Chemistry being awarded to David Baker, Dennis Hassabis and John Jumper. Why the hell is David Baker on that list? He was just the head of a very big lab that was working in the traditional way using largely physics based approaches, making incremental progress. AlphaFold blew that whole approach out of the water. They cite the design of Top7 back in 2003 - it's not at the level of impact as Alphafold. The impact of Alphafold is obvious to all - the importance of the 2003 Baker paper doesn't stand out to me from 1000's of other possible candidates - that's where self-promotion, visibility and politics plays a part. The 2003 Baker paper has 2249 citations over 22 years. The 2021 AlphaFold paper has had 43876 citations in 4 years..........
- shrubble 10mo ago
  Reminder that there are two different organizations that award “Nobel” prizes; one is the actual organization and the other is the Riksbank, the central bank of Sweden. Not the same people, etc.
darkstar_16 10mo ago
I can't tell if you're being sarcastic or not, but it will happen sooner or later.

gpt5 10mo ago

Can you clarify what are you talking about? The US has been developing 6th-gen fighter since the mid mid-2010s - not that I'd consider it as an important new original invention. What I would consider as the most impactful inventions of the last decade would be things like mRNA, Generative AI, and reusable rockets - all came from the US and the US is maintaining the lead in them.

yanhangyhy 10mo ago
> Can you clarify what are you talking about? The US has been developing 6th-gen fighter since the mid mid-2010s - not that I'd consider it as an important new original invention. So you think that, as an advanced military project that should have been kept under the strictest secrecy, the Chinese somehow obtained it and, based on that, developed their own sixth-generation fighter—and even managed a successful test flight while the U.S. is still at the PowerPoint stage? I don’t know which scenario would be worse for the United States.
- gpt5 10mo ago
  Well, if we compare what we know about China's NGAD, which is almost nothing, with what we know about US NGAD, which is also almost nothing, we can safely conclude almost nothing.
- foldr 10mo ago
  China doesn’t yet have the jet engine technology to compete with American 5th gen fighters. I certainly don’t think the US or anyone else should be complacent, but the US has a substantial lead for now.
  - DrScientist 10mo ago
    Not sure fighters matter as much these days - Russia has air superiority in terms of jets over Ukraine - but it uses them infrequently - appears the problem is the ground based counter measures are quite effective and much cheaper. If they want to attack by air - drones and missiles rather than planes appear to be the way to go. Similarly aircraft carriers - they can only really be used now to bully small countries. To anybody with significant missile/drone tech they are just massive, slow, sitting ducks. What matters is drones and missiles etc and how fast you can churn them out. Who would win that? The US is going to have to find a way to live with countries like China and India, rather than trying to suppress them. The current US policy of trying to dismant all the organisations that were set up post world war II in order to keep the peace is madness.

fragmede 10mo ago

The joke is, if you want a consumer good to exist, but you don't want to do it yourself and you want it for cheap, just make a flashy Kickstarter for it, buy marketing, then cancel the Kickstarter and wait for Chinese"clones" to hit the market!