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The question _does_ make sense - you have some probability distribution that represents your belief, you observe data and form an updated probability distributi
by ajtulloch 14y ago
The question _does_ make sense - you have some probability distribution that represents your belief, you observe data and form an updated probability distribution (your posterior) that represents your new belief incorporating the observed data, and the question asked (in a roundabout way) what the variance of the posterior distribution was.