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> 2) already economically viable, or projected to be economically viable within 2 years by actual process engineers with experience in scaling up chemical/elect
by ben_w 11mo ago
> 2) already economically viable, or projected to be economically viable within 2 years by actual process engineers with experience in scaling up chemical/electrical plants to industrial size
Why 2 years?
Even though I'm expecting the current approximately-exponential growths of both PV and wind to continue until they supply at least 50% of global electrical demand between them, I expect that to happen in the early 2030s, not by the end of 2027.
(I expect global battery capacity to be between a day and a week at that point, still not "seasonal" for sure).
- adwn 11mo ago> Why 2 years? Significantly longer than that and you go from prediction to speculation, and it is unwise to base a country's energy policy on speculation.