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Show HN: CatalystAlert – Biotech catalyst tracker with ML predictions
- nykodev 10mo agoHey HN, I built this because I was trading biotech stocks and got tired of manually tracking PDUFA dates, FDA decisions, and trial readouts across multiple sources. What it does: - Aggregates ~1000 biotech companies from ClinicalTrials.gov, SEC EDGAR, FDA - Daily data sync - ML predictions for catalyst impact (XGBoost) and likelihood of approval (Random Forest) Technical details: - XGBoost model trained on historical catalyst events - Features: catalyst type, phase, therapeutic area, market cap, price momentum - Random Forest for LOA scores based on BIO 2024 clinical success benchmarks - Weekly model retraining The ML part is experimental - I'm genuinely not sure if it's useful or just fancy noise. Would love feedback from anyone who trades biotech or has experience with financial ML. Free tier: 3 predictions/day + full calendar Paid tiers: unlimited predictions, smart money signals, entry timing Happy to answer questions about the data pipeline or ML approach.