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Dario Amodei claimed "AI will replace 90% of developers within 6 months" about a year ago. Still they are just loosing money and will probably will be forever w

by Lionga 10mo ago

Dario Amodei claimed "AI will replace 90% of developers within 6 months" about a year ago. Still they are just loosing money and will probably will be forever while just producing more slop code that needs even more devs to fix it. Good job AI fanboys and girls. You will be remembered when this fake hype is over.

markus_zhang 10mo ago
I'm more of a doomsayer than a fan boy. But I think it's more like "AI will replace 50% of your juniors and 25% of your seniors and perhaps 50% of your do-nothing middle managers", And that's a fairly large number anyway.
- sidibe 10mo ago
  100% in the doomers camp now, wish I could be as optimistic as these people who think AI is all hype but the last few weeks it's starting to finally be more productive to use these tools and I feel like this will be a short little window where the stuff I'm typing in and the review of whats coming out is still worth my salary. I don't really see why anywhere near the number of great jobs this industry has had will be justifiable in a year. The only comfort is all the other industries will be facing the same issue so accomodations will have to be made.
  - markus_zhang 10mo ago
    The other industries are shielded by legislations, unions and many more. Those who don’t and does not involve physical work are the first to fall. Damn it that I’m only 40+ so I still need to work more or less 15 years even when we live frugally.
  - throw234234234 10mo ago
    I wouldn't be surprised if it is only software and creative jobs that die. Whilst I still find it expensive to buy a house, get food, and the grunt work will still need labor. What that means for society where there are extremely rich people who owns resources and capital, and everyone else is only valued for their dexterity and physical labor (vs skills) I can only guess. I do think the AI labs have potentially unleashed a society changing technology that ironically penalizes meritocracy and/or intelligence by making it less scarce. The jobs left will be the ones people avoided for a reason (health, risk, etc)

by Lionga 10mo ago

markus_zhang 10mo ago

I'm more of a doomsayer than a fan boy. But I think it's more like "AI will replace 50% of your juniors and 25% of your seniors and perhaps 50% of your do-nothing middle managers", And that's a fairly large number anyway.

sidibe 10mo ago
100% in the doomers camp now, wish I could be as optimistic as these people who think AI is all hype but the last few weeks it's starting to finally be more productive to use these tools and I feel like this will be a short little window where the stuff I'm typing in and the review of whats coming out is still worth my salary. I don't really see why anywhere near the number of great jobs this industry has had will be justifiable in a year. The only comfort is all the other industries will be facing the same issue so accomodations will have to be made.
- markus_zhang 10mo ago
  The other industries are shielded by legislations, unions and many more. Those who don’t and does not involve physical work are the first to fall. Damn it that I’m only 40+ so I still need to work more or less 15 years even when we live frugally.
- throw234234234 10mo ago
  I wouldn't be surprised if it is only software and creative jobs that die. Whilst I still find it expensive to buy a house, get food, and the grunt work will still need labor. What that means for society where there are extremely rich people who owns resources and capital, and everyone else is only valued for their dexterity and physical labor (vs skills) I can only guess. I do think the AI labs have potentially unleashed a society changing technology that ironically penalizes meritocracy and/or intelligence by making it less scarce. The jobs left will be the ones people avoided for a reason (health, risk, etc)