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Not the first sketchy Polymarket resolution. It's also worth noting the rules can change on the fly. Earlier this year ISW changed how they map the war in Ukrai
by Acrobatic_Road 10mo ago
Not the first sketchy Polymarket resolution. It's also worth noting the rules can change on the fly. Earlier this year ISW changed how they map the war in Ukraine by introducing "Russian infiltration areas" where in the past they would have said "Russian-controlled territory". Polymarket updated the rules to say "Russian infiltration areas" wouldn't count if you are betting on a "Will Russia capture X?" market. Great news if you're betting on Ukraine, not so great if you're betting on Russia.
- DANmode 10mo agoOther notable ones?
- Acrobatic_Road 10mo agoThe Fordow (Iran Nuclear power plant) market was disputed several times because it wasn't clear whether the facility was destroyed by the US attack. The rules said it had to be confirmed by the IAEA, and many people figured they wouldn't be able to access the facility. However, the market resolved as destroyed because of some comments made by IAEA's director in a French radio show.