From Wikipedia[1]: > Silver's final 2008 presidential election forecast accurately predicted the winner of 49 of the 50 states as well as the District of Colum

From Wikipedia[1]: > Silver's final 2008 presidential election forecast accurately predicted the winner of 49 of the 50 states as well as the District of Columbia (missing only the prediction for Indiana). As his model predicted, the races in Missouri and North Carolina were particularly close. He also correctly predicted the winners of every U.S. Senate race. The accuracy of his predictions won him further acclaim, including abroad,[49] and added to his reputation as a leading political prognosticator.[50] [1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver#2008_U.S._elections http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver#2008_U.S._elections