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Perhaps a new category, 'highest risk guess but right the most often'. Those is the high impact predictions.
by SubiculumCode 10mo ago
Perhaps a new category, 'highest risk guess but right the most often'. Those is the high impact predictions.
- arjie 10mo agoPrediction markets have pretty much obviated the need for these things. Rather than rely on "was that really a hot take?" you have a market system that rewards those with accurate hot takes. The massive fees and lock-up period discourage low-return bets.
- Karrot_Kream 10mo agoFWIW Polymarket (which is one of the big markets) has no lock-up period and, for now while they're burning VC coins, no fees. Otherwise agree with your point though.
- gammarator 10mo agoCan’t wait for the brave new world of individuals “match fixing” outcomes on Polymarket.
- Karrot_Kream 10mo agoAs opposed to the current world of brigading social media threads to make consensus look like it goes your way and then getting journalists scraping by on covering clickbait to cover your brigading as fact?