4 ms·
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delphi_method https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delphi_method > https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26368011 https://news.ycombinator
by based2 10mo ago
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delphi_method https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delphi_method
> https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26368011 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26368011
https://blog.pragmaticengineer.com/yes-you-should-estimate/ https://blog.pragmaticengineer.com/yes-you-should-estimate/
> https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27006853 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27006853
https://josephmate.github.io/PowersOf2/ https://josephmate.github.io/PowersOf2/ Complexity Estimator
https://earthly.dev/blog/thought-leaders/ https://earthly.dev/blog/thought-leaders/
> https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27467999 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27467999
https://jacobian.org/2021/may/20/estimation/ https://jacobian.org/2021/may/20/estimation/
> https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27687265 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27687265
https://tomrussell.co.uk/writing/2021/07/19/estimating-large-scale-software-projects.html https://tomrussell.co.uk/writing/2021/07/19/estimating-large...
> https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27906886 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27906886
https://www.scalablepath.com/blog/software-project-estimation/ https://www.scalablepath.com/blog/software-project-estimatio...
https://estinator.dk/ https://estinator.dk/
> https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28104934 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28104934
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28662856 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28662856 How do you do estimates in 2021?
https://web.archive.org/web/20170603123809/http://www.tuicool.com:80/articles/7niyym https://web.archive.org/web/20170603123809/http://www.tuicoo... Always Multiply Your Estimates by π
> https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28667174 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28667174
https://lucasfcosta.com/2021/09/20/monte-carlo-forecasts.html https://lucasfcosta.com/2021/09/20/monte-carlo-forecasts.htm...
> https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28769331 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28769331
https://tinkeredthinking.com/index.php?id=833 https://tinkeredthinking.com/index.php?id=833
> https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28955154 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28955154
https://blog.abhi.se/on-impact-effort-prioritization https://blog.abhi.se/on-impact-effort-prioritization
> https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28979210 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28979210
https://www.shubhro.com/2022/01/30/hacks-engineering-estimates/ https://www.shubhro.com/2022/01/30/hacks-engineering-estimat...
https://www.paepper.com/blog/posts/monte-carlo-for-better-time-estimates-of-your-work/ https://www.paepper.com/blog/posts/monte-carlo-for-better-ti...
https://drmaciver.substack.com/p/task-estimation-101 https://drmaciver.substack.com/p/task-estimation-101
> https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32177425 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32177425
https://morris.github.io/e7/#?t= https://morris.github.io/e7/#?t=
https://stevemcconnell.com/17-theses-software-estimation-expanded/ https://stevemcconnell.com/17-theses-software-estimation-exp...
https://www.doomcheck.com/ https://www.doomcheck.com/
> https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34440872 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34440872
https://github.com/kimmobrunfeldt/git-hours https://github.com/kimmobrunfeldt/git-hours
https://pm.stackexchange.com/questions/34768/why-are-developers-expected-to-estimate-tasks-at-all https://pm.stackexchange.com/questions/34768/why-are-develop...
> https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35316808 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35316808
https://erikbern.com/2019/04/15/why-software-projects-take-longer-than-you-think-a-statistical-model.html https://erikbern.com/2019/04/15/why-software-projects-take-l...
> https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36720573 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36720573
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42173575 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42173575
https://www.thecaringtechie.com/p/8-guaranteed-ways-to-annoy-your-senior https://www.thecaringtechie.com/p/8-guaranteed-ways-to-annoy...
> https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43146871 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43146871
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43873604 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43873604
- teddyh 10mo ago<https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2000/03/29/painless-software-schedules/ https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2000/03/29/painless-software-...>
- truelson 10mo agoI preffered: https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2007/10/26/evidence-based-scheduling/ https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2007/10/26/evidence-based-sch... 20-25 years later, this is still where we are at :)
- truelson 10mo ago"Evidence-based" stats tracking is the only somewhat scientific method i know of that can give you a good range of estimates. But it takes effort. Thus why many don't do it. But accurate estimate ranges are a super-power for businesses if they can trust them. Never understood why that's not demanded more... oh yeah, it's work :p