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Countries under the US nuclear umbrella will look for alternatives, including their own nuclear deterrent. I expect proliferation to continue or even accelerat
by pfdietz 11mo ago
Countries under the US nuclear umbrella will look for alternatives, including their own nuclear deterrent. I expect proliferation to continue or even accelerate.
- keepamovin 11mo agoThat is a good point, however, a non-dominant power US would be unlikely to lose its strategic nukes, and may even increase them to compensate.
- pfdietz 11mo agoWhat it might lose is willingness to start or engage in a nuclear war for others, or the credibility that it would do so.
- keepamovin 11mo agoMaybe, but I believe there's something to the idea that "decaying empires are more dangerous" because they're increasingly desperate to hang on to what they have. War is often the external result of internal decline.