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If the question is „what happens if/when the US loses its global power?“, my first impulse is to point out that losing global power doesn’t mean becoming powerl
by baubino 11mo ago
If the question is „what happens if/when the US loses its global power?“, my first impulse is to point out that losing global power doesn’t mean becoming powerless. The US will lose global power but will remain the dominant power in the Americas. Recent activity in relation to Venezuela has suggested that that is in fact the plan — to cede global power in order to assert authoritarian control over the Americas.
On the global scale, naturally China and Russia jockey for a dominant position but clearly China has the economic and political advantage. I see Europe being preoccupied with stemming Russian incursions while China gradually expands their economic reach until they serve the global economic role that the US once did. China’s continuous investment in Africa means that African nations (Nigeria in particular) might start to play a bigger role on the world stage.
I think the west vs the rest divisions that have structured the geopolitical world since WWII might be significantly reorganized with China at the helm. What that means for us normies out here just trying to live life, I have no idea.
- keepamovin 11mo agoI think this is a clean line of thought. Pan-American US is certainly a strong play, seems missed oppportunity to have delayed it so long. Africa is a dice roll here, something could emerge from there that challenges everyone. China might not find them such obedient tribute states, clearly. China ousts Russia, yep, and while divergent, they could unite, but it seems low probability despite history. I see Europe eventually aligned with Russia despite present appearances. Shared interests, history and culture. The more Putin flexes identity/nationalism, the more they drift from Asia, I think. But the story of Russia is way bigger than Putin, and eventually they may reject him and become something else. Seems this is important to think about a lot more: "I think the west vs the rest divisions that have structured the geopolitical world since WWII might be significantly reorganized with China at the helm. What that means for us normies out here just trying to live life, I have no idea."