4 ms·
This seems to be either LLM AI slop or a person working very hard to imitate LLM writing style: The key dynamic: X were Y while A was merely B. While C needed
by kragen 11mo ago
This seems to be either LLM AI slop or a person working very hard to imitate LLM writing style:
The key dynamic: X were Y while A was merely B. While C needed to be built, there was enormous overbuilding that D ...
Why Forecasting Is Nearly Impossible
Here's where I think the comparison to telecoms becomes both interesting and concerning.
[lists exactly three difficulties with forecasting, the first two of which consist of exactly three bullet points]
...
What About a Short-Term Correction?
Could there still be a short-term crash? Absolutely.
Scenarios that could trigger a correction:
1. Agent adoption hits a wall ...
[continues to list exactly three "scenarios"]
The Key Difference From S:
Even if there's a correction, the underlying dynamics are different. E did F, then watched G. The result: H.
If we do I and only get J, that's not K - that's just L.
A correction might mean M, N, and O as P. But that's fundamentally different from Q while R. ...
The key insight people miss ...
If it's not AI slop, it's a human who doesn't know what they're talking about: "enormous strides were made on the optical transceivers, allowing the same fibre to carry 100,000x more traffic over the following decade. Just one example is WDM multiplexing..." when in fact wavelength division multiplexing multiplexing is the entirety of those enormous strides.
Although it constantly uses the "rule of three" and the "negative parallelisms" I've quoted above, it completely avoids most of the overused AI words (other than "key", which occurs six times in only 2257 words, all six times as adjectival puffery), and it substitutes single hyphens for em dashes even when em dashes were obviously meant (in 20 separate places—more often than even I use em dashes), so I think it's been run through a simple filter to conceal its origin.
- ashtakeaway 11mo agoRemember we have about 20 years of poorly written articles along with a few well written ones for the LLM to be trained on. I'm confident that attempting to tell LLM from human writing is a waste of time now that the year is almost over. Other than that I'd rather choose a comprehensive article than a summary.
- kragen 11mo agoAttempting to tell LLM writing from human writing is usually a waste of time, but apparently not in this case.
- alienbaby 11mo agoDid you see the reply from the author to similar statements?
- kragen 11mo agoYou mean https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46138663 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46138663? He said that he mixed up British and American English all the time, but didn't try to deny that the article was AI slop.
- myrmidon 11mo agoI agree, and it feels like an allergy by now to that style specifically. This is doubly annoying because it ruins the reading experience and just makes me question myself constantly because you often can't be quite certain especially for shorter posts/comments. On topic: It is always quite easy to be the cynical skeptic, but a better question in my view: Is the current AI boom closer to telecoms in 2000 or to video hosting in 2005? Because parallels are strong to both, and the outcomes vastly different (Cisco barely recovered by now compared to 1999 while youtube is printing money).
- alienbaby 11mo agoYou guys make me laugh.