An issue with betting against the AGI hype is he's basing it on >The AGI-from-LLMs thesis fails... but what is you get a better algorithm? Hinton's neural net

An issue with betting against the AGI hype is he's basing it on >The AGI-from-LLMs thesis fails... but what is you get a better algorithm? Hinton's neural network work was in the 1980s, transformers are from 2017 but none of it worked that well then because the hardware wasn't that good. Now we have loads of fast hardware and thousands of bright people working in AI and things seem ripe for algorithm improvements. I'm pretty sure it's possible because the brain works so much more efficiently than the LLMs.