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This is my back-of-the-envelope speculation: Suppose you go to UC Berkeley for CS. A nice, round, accurate number for that is ~$52,000/year. Suppose you work d
by jessedhillon 14y ago
This is my back-of-the-envelope speculation:
Suppose you go to UC Berkeley for CS. A nice, round, accurate number for that is ~$52,000/year. Suppose you work during for two of those years (I did, not everyone can), and your overall obligations are $208,000 for four years, less your wages -- say a meager $18,000/year. Also, you would have had to pay rent whether you went to school or not, so that is not truly a cost of the education. Let's say your rent is a $900/mo, so ~$11,000/year. Plus books and supplies, which may be as high as $2,000/year.
So we have roughly $140,000 for four years of education at a top notch program.
The other part of the equation requires more voodoo. I don't know off-hand what the numbers are for educated v. unschooled programmers. My anecdotal evidence for Cal alums is that entry-level offers are mostly in the $80-90,000 range, with a few as high as $100,000. Within five years, everyone I know of is solidly within the $120-$150,000 range of pay. Unless they've gone the startup route, in which case they are electing for minimal pay.
Personally, my expectation would be, having done hiring in the past and now, that there would be very few unschooled devs who could break $120,000. If you are very conservative in your estimate then, let's say the unschooled and the educated dev are separated by $10-$20,000 until year four -- so little advantage for the first four years. After year five, the educated dev pulls ahead, and by year ten is earning $160,000 whereas the unschooled dev has maxed out and is receiving only $120,000 plus COLA pay increases. So conservatively, by year ten, the gap in pay has already covered or will soon cover the cost of the education.
This also does not reflect the fact that because getting into the front door is not even possible in many places unless you have a degree, you cannot access any of the opportunities for startup equity. In my opinion, the gains in opportunity are far and away the more valuable win with a degree.
And yet, my favorite programmer, John Carmack, only attended university for two semesters.
- ww520 14y agoDoes UC Berkeley really cost $52K per year on tuition? I thought it's a state funded public school. Just curious.
- jessedhillon 14y agoAllegedly, yes: http://students.berkeley.edu/finaid/home/cost.htm http://students.berkeley.edu/finaid/home/cost.htm These are total costs, not just tuition.
- randomdata 14y agoBy your numbers, someone going straight into the workforce could save about $50,000 each of the first four years the peers are in school, amounting to ~$2M by the time the person approaches retirement age. That is compared to the ~$3M that could be made by the gains in post-graduation income by retirement. However, the cost of the $140,000 education by the time you reach retirement is ~$1M so you have really only just compensated for the education with the higher income. And all that assumes that you will be able to earn more with said degree. While it certainly happens, I am doubtful that it holds true for all graduates. There is a lot of financial risk there, for what appears to be little to no monetary reward even when you do win. With that said, there are a near infinite number of positive reasons to partake in a post-secondary education. It doesn't need to come with better jobs and higher incomes to make it worthwhile. I find it rather sad that many feel we have to resort to showing higher future incomes to even justify going.
- lutusp 14y ago> In my opinion, the gains in opportunity are far and away the more valuable win with a degree. It is a very simple question of cost versus benefit. And tuition rates are rising so fast that any conclusion arrived at by calculation is necessarily a temporary one: Washington Post: "Chart of the day: College tuition is out of control" [2011]: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/post/chart-of-the-day-college-tuition-is-out-of-control/2011/10/27/gIQABi4sMM_blog.html http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/post/chart-of... A quote: " ... since 1978, college tuition and fees have been getting expensive at a much, much faster rate than even medical care"
- caw 14y agoYour choice of school greatly changes how fast you'll repay your schooling. http://www.marketwatch.com/story/which-colleges-help-grads-snare-top-salaries-2012-09-25-121034742 http://www.marketwatch.com/story/which-colleges-help-grads-s... Additionally, going to school doesn't have to saddle you with debt, because it doesn't preclude you from working at the same time. I think it says a lot about a person if you're able to work and keep up your grades.