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> Do. the. math. and. think. OK then, where's your math? tptacek is right, this whole discussion is silly because it revolves around what exactly "bad" means
by mike_hearn 1y ago
> Do. the. math. and. think.
OK then, where's your math?
tptacek is right, this whole discussion is silly because it revolves around what exactly "bad" means which is subjective. But if you want to really do calculations about this, you'd need to price out total expected revenue over your time preference window for each scenario. It's not at all obvious which one would win because it depends on at least these variables and probably more:
1. Over what time period you care about. "You" here means a hypothetical pharma executive who cares about his/her incentives. If symptom management makes a billion dollars repeatedly but each billion takes 200 years, and a cure makes a billion dollars once but in five years, nobody rational will want to sell symptom management.
2. Related to (1) what expected market returns are in future.
3. What price premium you can charge for a cure vs symptom management. The former is more valuable to customers.
4. How fast competitors can catch up. Imagine you find both symptom management and a cure for disease X. You keep the cure a secret and bring the subscription to market (for a price much less than what a cure would command). Six months later a competitor releases a cure, simultaneously wiping out your market and capturing all the immediate revenue. That would have been a bad move.
- ninetyninenine 1y ago[flagged]
- tptacek 1y agoCan you not paste LLM output here? Thanks.
- ninetyninenine 1y agoIt’s not. Can you not go around making up fucking shit and baselessly accusing people of posting LLM output? Thanks.
- tptacek 1y agoIt very obviously is. You went from using normal-person quotation marks to fitted quotes in the span of one message, you have a Unicode multiplication dot, and things like Again, this is not “subjective.” It’s what actually happens This isn’t a subjective opinion. It’s just how discounted cashflow works. You can argue about the ethics if you want. But the financial comparison isn’t ambiguous. Your paste doesn't even use a normal keyboard minus sign: |nue) ... cost. S| Another tell is how much of the quote isn't responsive to the whole thread context, just Hearn's immediate message. I'll add that it doesn't even manage to rebut Hearn! (Feel free to compare this to your own writing style to get some clarity for what to fix up next time before pasting LLM output). https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&query=%22human%20conversation%22%20by%3Adang&sort=byDate&type=comment https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&que... Later In case you were typing while I updated this, the first version of this comment didn't notice your minus sign, but it stuck out to me and when I checked it was so funny you used an en-dash I couldn't not include it.
- ninetyninenine 1y ago[flagged]
- deleted 1y ago[deleted]