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Both Pew and Blue Rose Research have confidently stated that Trump would have won by 3-5 points if everyone had voted. These conclusions were based on thousands
by rayiner 1y ago
Both Pew and Blue Rose Research have confidently stated that Trump would have won by 3-5 points if everyone had voted. These conclusions were based on thousands to millions of samples, far more than a typical poll.
- deleted 1y ago[deleted]
- JumpCrisscross 1y ago> Both Pew and Blue Rose Research have confidently stated that Trump would have won by 3-5 points if everyone had voted Correct. Re-run that analysis today, however, and the benefit of turnout may have shifted. That’s the point. There isn’t a consistent partisan tilt in turnout. In 2020, turnout did not benefit Trump. I suspect, given his economic track record, it will not again in 2026 and 2028.