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There are lots of wiggles in any graph and you can always take a wiggle and say "ah the trend was reversed". Privatization showed a steady growth in passenger n
by dash2 11mo ago
There are lots of wiggles in any graph and you can always take a wiggle and say "ah the trend was reversed". Privatization showed a steady growth in passenger numbers for decades. Nationalization didn't.
- buellerbueller 11mo agoThe trend is not a "wiggle." It is the slope of a local region, around which the "wiggles" bounce. Sure, I agree: privatization continued the trend that nationalization established. My point is simply this: the graph on its own doesn't indicate anything causal, but your original comment implied that the graph is enough to prove that privatization caused the growth.
- dash2 11mo agoSure. The graph on its own doesn't prove causality. The graph, plus a little basic common sense, does give strong evidence of causality. Specifically, there's no other plausible alternative for the sudden dramatic turnaround in the mid-80s and sustained growth thereafter.
- buellerbueller 11mo agoThe turnaround in the mid 1980s predates privatization, so unless everyone had time machines back then, this is evidence against causality. Also: common sense is not evidence. It never has been, nor will it ever be. Justification? Sure. Could even be that common sense is correct. But, evidence? No.