Linear and exponential growth look the same in short term horizons depending on the exponent. However, exponential growth is strictly superior as some things ca

Linear and exponential growth look the same in short term horizons depending on the exponent. However, exponential growth is strictly superior as some things can grow very fast if the exponent is high enough. We saw that with covid. The exponential assumption is correct. For the situations you are discussing, where the exponent is low, the exponential pattern correctly captures that.