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You may feel that way, but it's not true statistically. (Barring other evidence. If Bob from Powerball IT wins that first drawing with those numbers, for examp
by ceejayoz 1y ago
You may feel that way, but it's not true statistically.
(Barring other evidence. If Bob from Powerball IT wins that first drawing with those numbers, for example.)
- lateforwork 1y agoIf I saw the numbers "01 02 03 04 05 06" from code that's supposed to spit out random numbers, my first thought won't be "well, statistically that's just as likely as any another 6 numbers". My first thought will be, did someone set random=false?
- ceejayoz 1y agoSure. We also hear a creak at night and think it’s a ghost. Or we rage when our sniper with 99% odds misses in XCOM. Humans are like that. This isn’t even that sort of case. The closest approach is something like 30M kilometers.
- baggy_trough 1y agoWhat sort of case is it then? Isn't your argument that we can't distinguish any "sort of case" at all?
- ceejayoz 1y agoWe need a larger sample size than n=3 and better surveillance of the solar system. What’s weird for in-system objects may be the norm for interstellar ones. Astronomy is a constant barrage of “huh, wtf is that?” without aliens being the explanation.