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> You're making the appeal to authority fallacy Funny, I thought he was adjusting his Bayesian priors based on available evidence. From a classical logic pers
by KingMob 1y ago
> You're making the appeal to authority fallacy
Funny, I thought he was adjusting his Bayesian priors based on available evidence.
From a classical logic perspective, it's correct that authority does not imply truth.
But from a pragmatic Bayesian perspective, when verifying the truth of a matter is difficult-to-impossible for a layperson, we all try to figure out the truth based on what authorities say and our assessment of their trustworthiness.
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HNers really need to grok that high-school debate club doesn't help you with reality.
- FridayoLeary 1y ago[flagged]
- KingMob 1y agoSorry, but after applying Bayes' Law, I'm down-weighting you as less trustworthy after this comment. Tagged and noted.
- DrScientist 1y ago> Pure common sense would tell you that in such a dense urban environment a 2 or 3 to one military to civilian ratio would not be unexpected during the course of a military operation. So a ratio of 3/1 is fine is it?? I wonder if you can guess what date a ratio of 379/1195 comes from? Note the ICC warrants aren't one-sided.