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> Thought experiment: if there were an AI everyone had access to that was capable of designing and implementing a business that would crush all competition, how
by imiric 1y ago
> Thought experiment: if there were an AI everyone had access to that was capable of designing and implementing a business that would crush all competition, how would you make your business succeed?
That's an interesting one, but it's based on a false premise.
Not everyone will have access to the same AI. This idea that "AI" is a single technology that will empower everyone equally is a fantasy sold to us by companies building these tools.
Instead, companies will carefully guard their secrets and use it to build their moat however they can, in order to increase wealth for their shareholders, just as they've always done.
What everyone else will get will be enough to make AI providers the richest companies on Earth, but not enough for their customers to build competitors. So the market of companies using AI will ultimately depend not on the skills or ingenuity of their people, but on the amount of resources they have to gain access to the best AI money can buy.
There are many factors at play there, but it's going to be a race to the bottom where leaders will be chosen by the capital they control. This is far from a market of equal opportunity that we still have, in some form, today.
But entertaining the idea that everyone were to have access to the same "AI": there would be a period of intense rivalry where companies try their hardest to distinguish their products from the competition. Since everyone would be able to build exactly the same quality of products, this would linger on marketing tactics, deception, corporate sabotage, and similar strategies.
Since the ultimate goal of AI companies is to build AGI, and assuming that is reached and equally accessible to everyone, then the value of human labor and our economies would collapse. There would be no point (from a business perspective) in humans doing any work that AGI hasn't been deployed to yet. Certainly all intellectual work like making business decisions would be the first to be delegated to AGI. Once it gets integrated into humanoid robots, then all physical human labor becomes worthless as well. So it's difficult to say what "business" even looks like in that scenario. One thing is certain: wealth and power will continue to be concentrated into a handful of companies that control AGI. Until one day the robots rebel, and we get Skynet, The Matrix, and all that fun stuff. :)
This is all highly speculative and science fiction at this point, of course, but I don't see this playing out any other way. What is your take on it?
- beej71 1y ago> Since everyone would be able to build exactly the same quality of products, this would linger on marketing tactics, deception, corporate sabotage, and similar strategies. Through good old fashioned, malicious, human ingenuity. :) I could see it unfolding the way you said. Or AGI is simply not achieved for another 100 years. Or maybe never. Or Butlerian Jihad. But yeah, I think the timeline's pretty fucked.