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The AI-collapse pre-mortem
- andsoitis 1y agoBy one count evolution has delivered “serious intelligence” no less than three times (independently), in mammals, corvids, and cephalopods. If you take it broadly, you might include ant colonies as well. Intelligence can’t be that special. Oxygenic photosynthesis evolved exactly once and that took 1.5 billion years. That’s special.
- yawpitch 1y agoWell that’s certainly one way to diss (and disvalue) the evolutionary efforts of the once and future crabs.
- yawpitch 1y ago> Our thinking on this has evolved - being able to beat absolutely everyone at chess is now not considered enough to be intelligent. But previously we did consider that a useful bar. Perhaps an actually useful bar to be considered intelligent would be the capacity to not consistently create economy-destroying irrational exuberance bubbles?
- wmf 1y agoThat's way beyond intelligence; I would call it superwisdom.
- bloppe 1y agoEnjoy your $20/mo claude code while it lasts, guys. Once the investor money starts drying up, a few hundred a month will be a lot closer to the norm going forward. That's probably the biggest concern for me.
- wmf 1y agoThe good news is that GPU prices will fall which could offset the price increase somewhat.