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I get the vibe that they're all very aware of how deep into plateau territory they are, with no clear path toward the AGI they've been lying about for a few yea
by jimbo808 1y ago
I get the vibe that they're all very aware of how deep into plateau territory they are, with no clear path toward the AGI they've been lying about for a few years, so now they're trying to come up with ways to keep the hype train going as long as possible before the inevitable implosion. Collapsible textareas would be sweet, but their valuations are based on this AGI carrot they've been dangling in front of investors (and terrorizing the working class with). I'd love to hear what kinds of conversations are going on behind the scenes.
Sora 2 seemed like a pure hype move. There's no way they're bringing in even a tiny fraction of the revenue needed to cover the cost of it, but the videos do get a lot of viral attention. Investors probably arent actually using Sora 2, but they do see the rare watchable video when it pops off on social media.
Gen AI seems like the perfect tech to dupe non-tech or low-tech investors into believing they're building something intelligent. I can't think of any technology I've ever used that leaves such a disproportionally good first impression, while dramatically overselling its capabilities. If you put it in the hands of a non-tech investor who sort of knows how to code, he's going to ask it to do some truly trivial shit. And he's going to be amazed when it regurgitates some absurdly common pattern he could have Googled and found in one click. The real trade secret is that people just don't understand that any time LLMs seem intelligent, it's because they're regurgitating the work of intelligent humans (who almost certainly were not compensated for, or even aware of, their work being used in the training set).
LLMs are pretty neat, I use them daily for work. But the whole AGI grift and AI doom scenario we keep getting threatened with is really overshadowing the novelty of what is an often (situationally) useful, neat tool that makes me a little more productive some of the time.
- zerosizedweasle 1y agoHonestly, it's this squeezing every last drop from the hype train that really bothers me. A. The setup makes the eventual implosion that much more painful for the whole economy than if they let it go the natural course. B. Haven't you gotten enough already? You really really need to suck the whole economy dry before the thing lands?
- jimbo808 1y agoOh I'm sure they'll also demand bailouts... because... China