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Predictions are wrong more often than observations, I expect. McKinsey advised AT&T that the total market for cell phones would be just a handful. McKinsey is
by quantified 1y ago
Predictions are wrong more often than observations, I expect.
McKinsey advised AT&T that the total market for cell phones would be just a handful. McKinsey is going strong.
You're right, he missed that one. Do you think his total track record is poor?
- LunaSea 1y ago> Do you think his total track record is poor? That is actually the issue. All these talking heads, professional experts, writers, etc. make their reputation and money by constantly making predictions while never getting benchmarked. It's the whole trope behind the book Superforcasters.