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They have certainly gotten better, but it seems to me like the growth will be kind of logarithmic. I'd expect them to keep getting better quickly for a few more
by CobrastanJorji 1y ago
They have certainly gotten better, but it seems to me like the growth will be kind of logarithmic. I'd expect them to keep getting better quickly for a few more years and then kinda slow and eventually flatline as we reach the maximum for this sort of pattern matching kind of ML. And I expect that flat line will be well below the threshold needed for, say, a small software company to not require a programmer.
- Terr_ 1y ago> kind of logarithmic https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sigmoid_function https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sigmoid_function
- CobrastanJorji 1y agoIronically, yes. :)
- Legend2440 1y agoAhaha, of course nothing will ever be able to do my job!
- troupo 1y agoSince "AGI has been achieved internally" tweet I've only seen incremental improvements that are guaranteed to never be able to do my job. Or most people's jobs.
- sayamqazi 1y agoIt will take at least a few more decades at least from the looks of it. I would be 6 feet under by then so yes "Nothing will ever be able to do my job".