4 ms·

Wouldn't the US be cut from the supply if there was a war, regardless of the current tariffs?

• jqpabc123 1y ago
  The idea from the Chinese side to prevent a war by limiting the ability of the US to produce weapons. The USA and it's allies won WWII mainly due to superior production capacity. This advantage now works in China's favor. And the USA no longer has allies. Bottom line: If China decides to take Taiwan, the USA will have to choose between either doing nothing or mutual annihilation.
  • myko 1y ago
    Not supporting Taiwan in this conflict would just mean a slow death for the US. Though the US is likely already in that spiral given the trump situation.
    • jqpabc123 1y ago
      Yes. It appears that China intends to make this abundantly clear to US "leadership" *before* they launch an invasion --- in hopes of avoiding mutual annihilation which neither side wants.
    • hakfoo 1y ago
      If they can hold on for another 20 years, the PRC could probably have Taiwan without firing a shot. The US isn't going to get back manufacturing capacity on China's scale, and without real long-term economic plans beyond "bet it all on AGI", what they do have is going to be further strained. They can pump pork into the defense industry specifically, but probably not forever. You can't make a functional economy out of twelve fighter-jet plants and 500,000,000 hectares of unsellable soy. So over time, you've got a defense partner that's finding it harder and harder to play World Police on a grand scale, and a trading partner that's less and less wealthy and able to dictate terms. Eventually, Taipei will pick up a BRICS application form out of self-interest.