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The funny thing about disembodied superintelligence-- what if a collection of normal intelligences are fundamentally unable to extract net value from it? The f
by gsf_emergency_4 1y ago
The funny thing about disembodied superintelligence-- what if a collection of normal intelligences are fundamentally unable to extract net value from it?
The first example that comes to mind is OpenAI's Sebastian Bubeck (& others) giving underwhelming examples to illustrate that GPT has surpassed human mathematicians. Or earlier, when SamA says that he has seen things you wouldn't believe, whereas the top replicant in a proper sci-fi will at least be specific about the I-Beams.
Another parallel which you would be familiar with is nuclear power. Humans can plainly see it's an unworldly tech, but I'd say the value extracted so far has been a net negative-- mainly because our collective engineering chops are just too.. profane. And SamA/Musk/Thiel/Luckey just don't seem as wise as Rickover (who is the Rickover of our age? I think the Rickover pipeline is broken, tbh)
From my vantage point, I agree with you: China sees AI as less important as solar, so charitably, I'd say that Thiel's contrarian strategy is actually to get the Chinese so riled up they zuzwang themselves into providing the progress but keeping the whirlwind for themselves (so proving he has learnt the post-mimetic game from the atomics opening)
There could be another interesting post-mimetic line exploring how a hybrid chabuduo-"festina-lente" culture is required for developing supertech.. which.. only a Rickover can play
(I don't know if you're army or navy but there's this millenniums old cultural divide between a conservative army engineering culture -- that develops atomics -- and a progressive naval engineering culture -- that makes headway harnessing it. AI bulls smell like they are more aligned with land-forces
- cindyllm 1y ago[dead]