I think it's a bit of a bubble. However, bull case: Phase 1) Spend $400 bn / yr less a bit of income Phase 2) ? - AGI aound 2030 - replace workforce or double

I think it's a bit of a bubble. However, bull case: Phase 1) Spend $400 bn / yr less a bit of income Phase 2) ? - AGI aound 2030 - replace workforce or double output. Worth >1x world GDP or ~$100 tn ? Phase 3) Profit! (some discussion in "The case for AGI by 2030" https://80000hours.org/agi/guide/when-will-agi-arrive/ https://80000hours.org/agi/guide/when-will-agi-arrive/) Fund phase 1 by hyping it to investors