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Actually, this kind of thing has been around for a long time. Football Outsiders does game charting and "advanced NFL statistics". People have published paper
by jimmytucson 14y ago
Actually, this kind of thing has been around for a long time.
Football Outsiders does game charting and "advanced NFL statistics". People have published papers on using artificial neural networks to predict play calling, success rates, even injuries and stuff like that.
But this does give us the ability to enrich the data quite a bit. When you watch the live film you really can't see who blew a coverage where or why the safety didn't get to the running back in time to make a tackle. I think if you just watch the TV angles then you might not be convinced that pump fakes actually do anything to confuse the defense.
There's a lot to be gained here by statisticians and casual fans alike but it's hard to see that when only 1/3 of the action is visible at any given time.
- icelancer 14y agoFootball Outsiders abuses the use of statistics and engages in data snooping (the "study" on running backs comes to mind) to make their points. They're far, far behind organizations and people who have lent credence to sports analytics, like Baseball Prospectus, Tom Tango, Pete Palmer, Bill James, etc.
- jimmytucson 14y agoI agree with you (although your comment sounds almost ranting) but you kinda have to mention them in any conversation about using data to understand football... even if it's not used properly.