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hamas killed or tortured into submission all opposition in gaza. palestinian authority stopped having elections as well. because hamas will win. latest polling

by tguvot 1y ago

hamas killed or tortured into submission all opposition in gaza. palestinian authority stopped having elections as well. because hamas will win. latest polling (in link that i sent you in other thread) shows hamas polling at 40+%

JumpCrisscross 1y ago
> latest polling (in link that i sent you in other thread) shows hamas polling at 40+% Not a majority? Also, can you provide the link? Super curious about polling methods in a war zone.
- tguvot 1y ago
  got mistaken with previous polls. hamas not 40+ but 30+. 10 points higher than fatah and in case those that don't know who they vote for, won't vote - i guess hamas gets majority. But PA promised to France/UK/Canada/Australia that Hamas wouldn't be allowed to participate in elections, so... https://pcpsr.org/en/node/997 https://pcpsr.org/en/node/997 they have people that interview people in gaza (mentioned on front page)
  - JumpCrisscross 1y ago
    Thank you. I don't have a sense for the credibility of the poll. But taking their numbers at face value, we have 58% of Gaza residents saying Hamas was incorrect to launch its 7 October offensive. (Surprisingly, 59% in the West Bank say it was correct. That's problematic.) Problematically, too, is the 2/3rds of respondents in Gaza who oppose Hamas disarming. Based on this survey, which again, I have zero ability to judge in terms of accuracy, there would need to be a long civic transition to democratic self-rule while new political parties are given a safe space to form and grow.
    - tguvot 1y ago
      west bank population more radical because they don't feel the consequences of the hamas actions in gaza how long civic transition given those: https://www.impact-se.org/wp-content/uploads/UNRWA-Education-Textbooks-and-Terror-Nov-2023.pdf https://www.impact-se.org/wp-content/uploads/UNRWA-Education... https://www.impact-se.org/wp-content/uploads/Review-of-2023-Palestinian-Matriculation-Exams.pdf https://www.impact-se.org/wp-content/uploads/Review-of-2023-... https://www.impact-se.org/wp-content/uploads/Gazas-Educational-Frameworks.pdf https://www.impact-se.org/wp-content/uploads/Gazas-Education...

by tguvot 1y ago

JumpCrisscross 1y ago

> latest polling (in link that i sent you in other thread) shows hamas polling at 40+% Not a majority? Also, can you provide the link? Super curious about polling methods in a war zone.

tguvot 1y ago
got mistaken with previous polls. hamas not 40+ but 30+. 10 points higher than fatah and in case those that don't know who they vote for, won't vote - i guess hamas gets majority. But PA promised to France/UK/Canada/Australia that Hamas wouldn't be allowed to participate in elections, so... https://pcpsr.org/en/node/997 https://pcpsr.org/en/node/997 they have people that interview people in gaza (mentioned on front page)
- JumpCrisscross 1y ago
  Thank you. I don't have a sense for the credibility of the poll. But taking their numbers at face value, we have 58% of Gaza residents saying Hamas was incorrect to launch its 7 October offensive. (Surprisingly, 59% in the West Bank say it was correct. That's problematic.) Problematically, too, is the 2/3rds of respondents in Gaza who oppose Hamas disarming. Based on this survey, which again, I have zero ability to judge in terms of accuracy, there would need to be a long civic transition to democratic self-rule while new political parties are given a safe space to form and grow.
  - tguvot 1y ago
    west bank population more radical because they don't feel the consequences of the hamas actions in gaza how long civic transition given those: https://www.impact-se.org/wp-content/uploads/UNRWA-Education-Textbooks-and-Terror-Nov-2023.pdf https://www.impact-se.org/wp-content/uploads/UNRWA-Education... https://www.impact-se.org/wp-content/uploads/Review-of-2023-Palestinian-Matriculation-Exams.pdf https://www.impact-se.org/wp-content/uploads/Review-of-2023-... https://www.impact-se.org/wp-content/uploads/Gazas-Educational-Frameworks.pdf https://www.impact-se.org/wp-content/uploads/Gazas-Education...