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I haven't seen any numbers exceeding 100k. Where did you get 600k from ? the article is taking projections and applying multiple extrapolations to them. It is
by screye 1y ago
I haven't seen any numbers exceeding 100k. Where did you get 600k from ?
the article is taking projections and applying multiple extrapolations to them. It is a bad estimate.
The current estimates are between 53000 - 66000. About 10x lower than what you propose.
- phgn 1y ago[flagged]
- screye 1y agoI read the article. It piled about 5 different assumptions on top of each other. It takes the upper bound for the deaths in the first 9 months. Then extrapolates it linearly to the last 2.5 years. Then multiplies it by 4, because it estimates that starvation deaths must be 4x. At that point, why even guess ?