2 ms·
Each specific technology can be S-shaped, but advancements in achieving goals can still maintain an exponential curve. e.g. Moore's law is dead with the end of
by karmakaze 1y ago
Each specific technology can be S-shaped, but advancements in achieving goals can still maintain an exponential curve. e.g. Moore's law is dead with the end of Dennard scaling, but computation improvements still happen with parallelism.
Meta's Behemoth shows that scaling number of parameters has diminished returns, but we still have many different ways to continue advancements. Those who point at one thing and say "see", isn't really seeing. Of course there are limits, like energy but with nuclear energy or photon-based computing were nowhere near the limits.