> - Models will be able to autonomously work for full days (8 working hours) by mid-2026. > - At least one model will match the performance of human experts acr

> - Models will be able to autonomously work for full days (8 working hours) by mid-2026. > - At least one model will match the performance of human experts across many industries before the end of 2026. > - By the end of 2027, models will frequently outperform experts on many tasks. I’ve seen a lot of people make predictions like this and it will be interesting to see how this turns out. But my question is, what should happen to a person’s credibility if their prediction turns out to be wrong? Should the person lose credibility for future predictions and we no longer take them seriously? Or is that way too harsh? Should there be reputational consequences for making bad predictions? I guess this more of a general question, not strictly AI-related.