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Exponentials exist in their environment. Didn't Covid stop because we ran out of people to infect. Of course it can't keep going exponential, because there are
by FrustratedMonky 1y ago
Exponentials exist in their environment. Didn't Covid stop because we ran out of people to infect. Of course it can't keep going exponential, because there aren't exponential people to infect.
What is this limit on AI? It is technology, energy, something. All these things can be over-come, to keep the exponential going.
And of course, systems also break at the exponential. Maybe AI is stopped by the world economy collapsing. AI advancement would be stopped, but that is cold comfort to the humans.
- HexDecOctBin 1y ago> What is this limit on AI? Gulf money, for one. DoD budget would be another. Booms are economic phenomena, not technological phenomena. When looking for a limiting factor of a boom, think about the money taps.
- bawolff 1y ago> What is this limit on AI? It is technology, energy, something. All these things can be over-come, to keep the exponential going. That's kind of begging the question. Obviously if all the limitations on AI can be overcome growth would be exponential. Even the biggest ai skeptic would agree. The question is, will it?
- timmytokyo 1y ago>What is this limit on AI? Data. Think of our LLMs like bacteria in a Petri dish. When first introduced, they achieve exponential growth by rapidly consuming the dish's growth medium. Once the medium is consumed, growth slows and then stops. The corpus of information on the Internet, produced over several decades, is the LLM's growth medium. And we're not producing new growth medium at an exponential rate.