Many people seem to assert that "constant relative growth in capabilities/sales/whatever" is a totally reasonable (or even obvious or inevitable) prior assumpti

Many people seem to assert that "constant relative growth in capabilities/sales/whatever" is a totally reasonable (or even obvious or inevitable) prior assumption, and then point to "OMG relative growth produces an exponential curve!" as the rest of their argument. And at least the AI 2027 people tried to one-up that by asserting an increasing relative growth rate to produce a superexponential curve. I'd be a fool to say that we'll ever hit a hard plateau in AI capabilities, but I'll have a hard time believing any projected exponential-growth-to-infinity until I see it with my own eyes.