This extrapolates based on a good set of data points to predict when AI will reach significant milestones like being able to “work on tasks for a full 8 hours”

This extrapolates based on a good set of data points to predict when AI will reach significant milestones like being able to “work on tasks for a full 8 hours” (estimates by 2026). Which is ok - but it bears keeping https://xkcd.com/605/ https://xkcd.com/605/ in mind when doing extrapolation.