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> Even my moderate view, though, is premised on the assumption that A.I. will continue to advance up the steep part of the sigmoid curve for a while before hitt
by airstrike 1y ago
> Even my moderate view, though, is premised on the assumption that A.I. will continue to advance up the steep part of the sigmoid curve for a while before hitting one or another physical constraint that creates a new inflection point and slows advances further.
I feel like we've pretty much already hit a fundamental barrier in compute that is unlikely to be overcome in the near future barring a profound, novel algorithmic approach or an entirely novel computing model.
- lucianbr 1y agoAre there any events in the last, maybe 6 months, that seem to be still on the steep part of the sigmoid curve? I'm probably not well informed, but I can't think of any. GPT5 launch sure does not feel like a steep advance. What else was there?
- dwaltrip 1y ago$400 billion is being spent on new data centers this year alone (per yesterday's hard fork episode), for better or worse.