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There must be something seriously deceptive about these stats. To begin with, as experienced by others here, my Google+ is extremely quiet. There may be at mos
by arturadib 14y ago
There must be something seriously deceptive about these stats.
To begin with, as experienced by others here, my Google+ is extremely quiet. There may be at most a few people who occasionally post to it, and recently I've seen many switching to Twitter.
Secondly, although not a perfect proxy, Google Trends shows an exponentially decaying trend that is hardly in line with their reported exponential growth:
http://www.google.com/trends/?q=google%2B,+google+plus&ctab=0&geo=all&date=all&sort=0 http://www.google.com/trends/?q=google%2B,+google+plus&c...
Here's a zoomed-in graph in the last 12 months clearly showing the decaying tail:
http://www.google.com/trends/?q=google%2B,+google+plus&ctab=0&geo=all&date=ytd&sort=0 http://www.google.com/trends/?q=google%2B,+google+plus&c...
Let's compare for example with Twitter (~140-200M actives) in the last 12 months:
http://www.google.com/trends/?q=google+plus,+google%2B,+twitter&ctab=0&geo=all&date=ytd&sort=1 http://www.google.com/trends/?q=google+plus,+google%2B,+twit...
Regardless of how you rationalize people searching for "twitter" vs. "google plus" as a proxy for active users, the decaying trend is clear. And it's hard to think of why the query "google plus" or "google+" would be 50-70 times less popular than "twitter" other than low the popularity of the service.
Of course none of this is hard proof, and it's possible that my circles are just not representative of the internet as a whole and that Google Trends is a fantastically erroneous proxy for popularity, but personally I believe they're using an unrealistically optimistic metric for actives.
- Kylekramer 14y agoIsn't using Trends a pretty bad metric? I imagine most people searching for Twitter these days are just trying to get a link to their homepage. Google+ has a link to its homepage on Google search itself, so Google Trends isn't a very reliable data source.
- arturadib 14y agoSure, it's not perfect, but a factor of 70? Also, if you're going to include links from other properties you have to factor in (for example) that iOS has Twitter sign-in built in, so Twitter is also greatly underrepresented...
- Evbn 14y agoIt is the same property. You go to Google, and before you start typing a search, you see +Name and the red notification box that carry you to Plus.
- deleted 14y ago[deleted]
- Shooti 14y agoOne factor could be that the prominent links into G+ across Google properties means that people are less prone to navigate into G+ via by with Google search as they would do for Facebook/Twiiter. Most peoples initial contact with it would've been the "+You" promotion with giant arrow pointing towards the black navbar, skewing the results even further against searching for "Google+" inside of Google.